Hurricane Lisa

Forecast Advisory 5

---

000
WTNT24 KNHC 220231
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
0300 UTC WED SEP 22 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 31.3W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 31.3W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 31.3W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.3N 31.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.5N 31.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.7N 31.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.1N 32.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.7N 33.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 20.5N 35.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 21.0N 38.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 31.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI