Hurricane Lisa

Forecast Advisory 7

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 221436
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
1500 UTC WED SEP 22 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 30.5W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 125 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 30.5W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 30.6W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.1N 30.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 45SE 45SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.0N 30.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.0N 30.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.3N 31.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.5N 33.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 20.0N 35.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 21.5N 38.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 30.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG