Hurricane Lisa

Forecast Advisory 9



000
WTNT24 KNHC 230238
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
0300 UTC THU SEP 23 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 29.6W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 29.6W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 29.6W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.8N 29.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.0N 29.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.4N 30.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.1N 31.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 21.0N 32.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 65NE 50SE 40SW 65NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 23.0N 35.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 25.5N 38.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 29.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI