Hurricane Lisa

Forecast Advisory 13



000
WTNT25 KNHC 240248
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010
0300 UTC FRI SEP 24 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS HAVE CHANGED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA
TO LIMON HONDURAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA TO LIMON HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE
OFFSHORE ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LIMON HONDURAS WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER

WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR THE COASTS OF
GUATEMALA AND BELIZE ON FRIDAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 78.4W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 78.4W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 77.7W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.5N 80.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.1N 82.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 10SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 45SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.9N 85.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.6N 87.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.9N 89.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 18.5N 89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 19.0N 89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 78.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 240253
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
0300 UTC FRI SEP 24 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 28.1W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 28.1W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 28.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.7N 28.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.0N 28.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.4N 29.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.8N 30.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.5N 32.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 27.5N 34.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 29.5N 36.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 28.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE