Hurricane Lisa
Forecast Advisory 15
000
WTNT24 KNHC 241438
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
1500 UTC FRI SEP 24 2010
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 27.8W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 27.8W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 27.8W
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.8N 27.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.2N 28.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.9N 28.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 24.3N 29.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.5N 29.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 28.0N 30.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 27.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT25 KNHC 241456
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010
1500 UTC FRI SEP 24 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENTS OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA HAVE REPLACED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA TO LIMON
HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS...WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH.
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE
COAST OF BELIZE WITH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 TO 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 82.2W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 82.2W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 81.3W
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.6N 84.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.4N 86.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.0N 89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.0N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.0N 90.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 18.5N 90.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 18.5N 90.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 82.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
