Hurricane Lisa

Forecast Advisory 16

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 242033
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010
2100 UTC FRI SEP 24 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS HAVE DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA TO LIMON HONDURAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 83.7W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 30SE 0SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 83.7W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 83.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.2N 85.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.8N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.5N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.0N 91.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.0N 91.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 83.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTNT24 KNHC 242039
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
2100 UTC FRI SEP 24 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 27.8W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 27.8W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 27.8W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.0N 28.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.5N 28.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.1N 28.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.3N 29.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.3N 29.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 29.0N 30.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 27.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART