Hurricane Lisa

Forecast Advisory 19

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000
WTNT25 KNHC 250831
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010
0900 UTC SAT SEP 25 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS
* THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE NORTH OF BELIZE CITY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF
GUATEMALA TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 86.3W AT 25/0900Z...INLAND
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 86.3W AT 25/0900Z...INLAND
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 85.7W...INLAND

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.2N 88.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.8N 89.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.2N 90.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.5N 91.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.0N 92.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 86.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTNT24 KNHC 250832
TCMAT4
HURRICANE LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
0900 UTC SAT SEP 25 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 28.1W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 28.1W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 28.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.1N 28.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.7N 28.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.1N 28.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.4N 28.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 29.5N 29.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 31.6N 29.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 28.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN