Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 1

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 060837
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010
0900 UTC WED OCT 06 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 67.0W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 67.0W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 66.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.0N 67.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.6N 68.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.2N 67.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 25.0N 66.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 28.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 60SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 32.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 36.5N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 67.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

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FORECASTER BLAKE