Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 2

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 061433
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010
1500 UTC WED OCT 06 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 68.0W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 68.0W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 67.7W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.5N 68.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.2N 68.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.9N 67.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 26.1N 65.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 29.3N 58.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 33.4N 47.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 38.0N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 68.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART