Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 7

---

000
WTNT22 KNHC 072032
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010
2100 UTC THU OCT 07 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 67.6W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 60SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 67.6W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 67.9W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 24.7N 66.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 26.1N 63.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 15NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 28.4N 59.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 25SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 110SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 30.8N 54.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 35SW 25NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 35.7N 42.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 39.0N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 37.0N 23.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 67.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART