Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 10



000
WTNT22 KNHC 081431
TCMAT2
HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010
1500 UTC FRI OCT 08 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 64.0W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 170SE 80SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 64.0W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 64.6W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 27.3N 61.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 55SE 20SW 15NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 90SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 29.7N 57.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 35SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 120SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 32.4N 51.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 150SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 35.5N 45.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 220SE 180SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 40.0N 31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 45SE 45SW 0NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 155SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 40.0N 24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 37.0N 22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N 64.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN