Hurricane Otto

Forecast Advisory 13

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 090830
TCMAT2
HURRICANE OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172010
0900 UTC SAT OCT 09 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 58.5W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 30SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 190SE 45SW 65NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 270SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 58.5W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 59.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 31.1N 54.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 34.3N 48.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 35SE 25SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 25NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 37.7N 40.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 35SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 25NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 130SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 41.3N 33.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 45SW 15NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 170SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 43.0N 27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 40.5N 24.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 37.0N 22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.2N 58.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

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FORECASTER BRENNAN