Hurricane Paula

Forecast Advisory 15

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 150233
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM PAULA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182010
0300 UTC FRI OCT 15 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR CUBA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 81.4W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 81.4W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 82.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.1N 80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 23.0N 78.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.8N 77.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.0N 77.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 81.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART