Hurricane Richard

Forecast Advisory 4

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 212033
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM RICHARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010
2100 UTC THU OCT 21 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD
TO LIMON.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF RICHARD.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 80.4W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 155 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 80.4W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 80.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.8N 80.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.7N 81.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.9N 81.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.3N 83.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.5N 86.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 60SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 19.5N 88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 21.5N 89.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 80.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

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FORECASTER BLAKE