Hurricane Richard

Forecast Advisory 6

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 220834
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM RICHARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010
0900 UTC FRI OCT 22 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE
COAST OF HONDURAS LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF RICHARD.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 80.3W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 80.3W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 80.3W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.9N 80.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.9N 81.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 83.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.5N 84.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.5N 87.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.0N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 21.0N 91.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 80.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA