Hurricane Richard

Forecast Advisory 7

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 221440
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM RICHARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010
1500 UTC FRI OCT 22 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF RICHARD.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 81.1W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 81.1W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 80.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.8N 81.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.8N 82.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.1N 83.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.6N 85.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.8N 88.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 40SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 19.0N 90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 21.0N 91.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 81.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE