Hurricane Richard
Forecast Advisory 8
000
WTNT24 KNHC 222048
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM RICHARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010
2100 UTC FRI OCT 22 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS.
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
COAST OF BELIZE.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST
OF EASTERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA GRUESA SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON AND
THE BAY ISLANDS
* EAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA GRUESA TO CHETUMAL
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON AND
THE BAY ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER.
* BELIZE
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RICHARD.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 81.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 81.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 81.5W
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.2N 82.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.3N 83.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.7N 85.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.2N 86.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE 40SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.2N 89.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 45NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 20.0N 91.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 22.0N 92.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 81.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
