Hurricane Richard

Forecast Advisory 18

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 250842
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM RICHARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010
0900 UTC MON OCT 25 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WARNINGS FOR
MEXICO.

HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAVE LIKELY DIMINISHED ALONG
THE BELIZE COAST.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR MEXICO...AND
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAVE LIKELY DIMINISHED ALONG
THE BELIZE COAST.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 89.6W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 89.6W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 89.3W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.1N 90.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.9N 91.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.0N 92.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.1N 93.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 23.0N 95.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 89.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART