Hurricane Richard

Forecast Advisory 19

---

000
WTNT24 KNHC 251432
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICHARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010
1500 UTC MON OCT 25 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 90.2W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 90.2W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 89.9W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.4N 91.1W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.5N 92.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.7N 93.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.8N 94.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 90.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS