Hurricane Shary

Forecast Advisory 3



000
WTNT25 KNHC 291431
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM SHARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202010
1500 UTC FRI OCT 29 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 66.2W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 45SE 45SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 66.2W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 65.9W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 32.2N 64.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 35.6N 60.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 39.9N 52.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 45.0N 43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N 66.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART