Hurricane Tomas

Forecast Advisory 13

---

000
WTNT21 KNHC 010830
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
0900 UTC MON NOV 01 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 67.7W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 30SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 67.7W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 67.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.1N 69.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.3N 71.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.4N 72.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.6N 73.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.5N 74.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 17.5N 74.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 21.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 67.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH