Hurricane Tomas
Forecast Advisory 28
000
WTNT21 KNHC 050239
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
0300 UTC FRI NOV 05 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI
BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 36
HOURS. THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 75.5W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 75.5W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 75.7W
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.8N 74.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.0N 73.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.4N 71.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 25.1N 70.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.2N 67.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...105NE 105SE 90SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 28.3N 65.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 28.5N 64.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 75.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
