Hurricane Tomas

Forecast Advisory 33

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 060839
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
0900 UTC SAT NOV 06 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS WITH
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* HAITI
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 71.3W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 25SW 10NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 40SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 71.3W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 71.8W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.2N 70.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 25SW 10NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.2N 69.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 10NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 75SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.7N 68.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 35SE 20SW 10NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 25.0N 67.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 25.5N 65.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 26.5N 60.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 71.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN