Hurricane Tomas

Forecast Advisory 38

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 070836
TCMAT1
HURRICANE TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
0900 UTC SUN NOV 07 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 68.8W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 85NE 85SE 175SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 240SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 68.8W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 69.0W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.5N 68.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 85NE 85SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 26.8N 66.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 27.5N 64.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 28.6N 61.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 33.0N 55.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 68.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART