Tropical Storm Arlene

Forecast Advisory 1



055
WTNT21 KNHC 282352
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012011
0000 UTC WED JUN 29 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA NORTHWARD TO
BAHIA ALGODONES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO BAHIA ALGODONES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 93.7W AT 29/0000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 93.7W AT 29/0000Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 93.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.7N 94.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N 95.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.0N 96.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.0N 97.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.5N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 93.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KIMBERLAIN




752
WTNT21 KNHC 282352
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012011
0000 UTC WED JUN 29 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA NORTHWARD TO
BAHIA ALGODONES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO BAHIA ALGODONES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 93.7W AT 29/0000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 93.7W AT 29/0000Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 93.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.7N 94.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N 95.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.0N 96.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.0N 97.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.5N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 93.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KIMBERLAIN