Tropical Storm Gert

Forecast Advisory 3

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058
WTNT22 KNHC 141443
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072011
1500 UTC SUN AUG 14 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BERMUDA AND SURROUNDING WATERS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 63.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 63.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 62.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 29.6N 63.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 31.8N 63.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 34.9N 62.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 38.6N 58.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 47.0N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 63.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART