Tropical Storm Harvey

Forecast Advisory 10



638
WTNT23 KNHC 210846
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011
0900 UTC SUN AUG 21 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 92.0W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 92.0W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 91.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.1N 93.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.3N 96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 92.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




004
WTNT24 KNHC 210856
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
0900 UTC SUN AUG 21 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO
ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE HAITI BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE
HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF CABO ENGANO.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND
CULEBRA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF HAITI.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO
THE HAITI BORDER

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA
* SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN
* DOMINICA
* BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...MONTSERRAT
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO NORTH OF CABO ENGANO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS AND IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR ON PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND
CULEBRA TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...AND IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 61.3W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 61.3W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 60.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.0N 63.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 40SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.5N 66.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.0N 69.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.6N 71.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.3N 75.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 22.8N 78.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 26.1N 80.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 61.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART