Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 7



573
WTNT24 KNHC 220906
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
0900 UTC MON AUG 22 2011

ADDED 64-KT WIND RADII AT INITIAL TIME

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI
FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.

THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO CABO ENGANO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO
WESTWARD TO THE HAITI BORDER
* ALL OF HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 66.4W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
34 KT.......130NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 60SE 0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 66.4W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 65.9W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.9N 68.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 15SW 45NW.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 45SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.7N 70.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 15SW 45NW.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 45SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.4N 72.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 15SW 45NW.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 45SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.3N 74.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 40SE 25SW 45NW.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 45SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.0N 77.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 75SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 27.0N 79.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 30.9N 81.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 66.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART