Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 10

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810
WTNT24 KNHC 230019
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IRENE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
0030 UTC TUE AUG 23 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO CABO ENGANO
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO EASTWARD
TO CABO ENGANO
* ALL OF HAITI

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 68.7W AT 23/0030Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 70SE 40SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 60SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 68.7W AT 23/0030Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 68.1W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.1N 70.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 75SE 45SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.8N 72.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 15SE 15SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 75SE 55SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.5N 74.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 15SE 15SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 75SE 55SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.0N 75.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 75SE 55SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 26.0N 78.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 90SE 60SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 29.5N 79.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 34.0N 79.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 68.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN