Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 11

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207
WTNT24 KNHC 230255
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
0300 UTC TUE AUG 23 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO CABO ENGANO
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO EASTWARD
TO CABO ENGANO
* ALL OF HAITI

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 69.2W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 70SE 40SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 75SE 45SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 69.2W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 68.7W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.4N 70.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 15SE 15SW 35NW.
50 KT... 75NE 40SE 35SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 80SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.1N 72.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 25SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 50SE 45SW 75NW.
34 KT...160NE 90SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.2N 74.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 30SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 50SE 45SW 75NW.
34 KT...160NE 100SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.5N 75.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 85NE 70SE 55SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.5N 78.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...185NE 140SE 80SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 30.0N 79.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 33.5N 78.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 69.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN