Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 19

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244
WTNT24 KNHC 250255
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
0300 UTC THU AUG 25 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE. HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES
WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS
EARLY THURSDAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 75.4W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT.......220NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 75.4W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 75.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.5N 76.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 27.5N 77.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 29.5N 77.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 31.5N 77.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 36.0N 75.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 140SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 42.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 50.0N 67.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 75.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA