Hurricane Irene

Forecast Advisory 29

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851
WTNT24 KNHC 271448
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
1500 UTC SAT AUG 27 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND FROM MERRIMACK RIVER NORTHWARD
TO EASTPORT MAINE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO EASTPORT MAINE

INTERESTS IN NEW BRUNSWICK AND NOVA SCOTIA CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IRENE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 76.4W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 35NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE 90SW 60NW.
34 KT.......225NE 225SE 150SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 300SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 76.4W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 76.6W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 37.2N 75.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 40.3N 73.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE 90SW 75NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 44.3N 71.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 48.7N 67.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...270NE 350SE 100SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 55.5N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 350SE 350SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 58.0N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 59.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 76.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN