Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT22 KNHC 300841
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0900 UTC TUE AUG 30 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 31.7W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 31.7W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 30.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 12.5N 33.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 15NE 0SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 13.5N 36.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 14.4N 40.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.3N 43.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N 49.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 20.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 31.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN