Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 15

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 012031
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
2100 UTC THU SEP 01 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 49.2W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 45SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 49.2W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 48.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.8N 51.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 55SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.7N 52.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 15SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.7N 54.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.7N 56.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 75SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.6N 59.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 90SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 49.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

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FORECASTER ZELINSKY/CANGIALOSI