Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 17



000
WTNT23 KNHC 020838
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 91.7W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 91.7W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 91.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 27.0N 92.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.6N 92.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 28.2N 92.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 28.8N 92.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 29.5N 91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 30SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 30.5N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 31.5N 88.5W...INLAND POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 91.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



000
WTNT22 KNHC 020846
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 51.8W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 60SE 0SW 75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 45SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 90SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 51.8W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 51.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.7N 53.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 45SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.9N 54.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 45SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.9N 56.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.0N 57.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.3N 60.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 25.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 27.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 51.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE