Hurricane Katia
Forecast Advisory 18
000
WTNT22 KNHC 021453
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1500 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 52.4W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......135NE 105SE 60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 90SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 52.4W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 52.0W
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.6N 53.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 60SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.6N 55.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.6N 56.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 75SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.7N 57.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N 61.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 105SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 27.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 52.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART
000
WTNT23 KNHC 021456
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
1500 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 91.5W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 91.5W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 91.4W
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.6N 91.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.2N 91.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 28.8N 91.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 29.7N 91.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 30SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.8N 90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 30SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 31.0N 88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 33.0N 87.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 91.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
