Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 34

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 061444
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
1500 UTC TUE SEP 06 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 65.9W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE 55SE 50SW 55NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 105SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 210SE 180SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 65.9W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 65.6W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.9N 67.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 135SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.2N 68.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.9N 69.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 55SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.9N 70.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 165SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 37.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...165NE 180SE 135SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 41.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 49.0N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 65.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA