Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 35



000
WTNT24 KNHC 062034
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
2100 UTC TUE SEP 06 2011


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 37.0W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 37.0W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 36.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.3N 39.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 12.9N 43.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 13.7N 47.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.5N 50.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 20SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 20SE 25SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 17.0N 62.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 19.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 37.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
WTNT22 KNHC 062046
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
2100 UTC TUE SEP 06 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 66.7W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 135SE 120SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 240SE 200SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 66.7W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 66.4W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.5N 67.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 65NE 60SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 135SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.9N 69.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 65NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.7N 70.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 165SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 34.0N 69.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 135SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 39.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 165SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 44.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 53.0N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 66.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BRENNAN