Hurricane Katia
Forecast Advisory 47
844
WTNT25 KNHC 092036
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 92.8W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 75SE 90SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 120SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 92.8W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 92.7W
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.2N 93.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 45NE 75SE 90SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.2N 94.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 20.1N 95.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.0N 96.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 19.5N 98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 92.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
717
WTNT24 KNHC 092038
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICA
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 58.6W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 30SE 80SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 58.6W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 58.0W
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.8N 60.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.2N 62.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.7N 64.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 45SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.0N 66.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.7N 69.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 60SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 25.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 31.0N 71.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 58.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
388
WTNT22 KNHC 092040
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.6N 62.7W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 33 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 220SE 170SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 420SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.6N 62.7W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.8N 64.6W
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 42.6N 55.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 170SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 46.0N 44.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 180SE 180SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 300SE 300SW 135NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 49.6N 33.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...105NE 240SE 240SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 390SE 390SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 53.2N 22.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 210SE 210SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 420SE 420SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 60.1N 4.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 180SE 180SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 360SE 420SW 150NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z...EAST OF ZERO DEGREES LONGITUDE
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.6N 62.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
