Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 49



200
WTNT25 KNHC 100843
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
0900 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 93.7W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 75SE 90SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 110SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 93.7W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 93.5W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.0N 94.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 75SE 90SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.9N 95.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 19.8N 96.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.7N 97.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 93.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/AVILA




706
WTNT24 KNHC 100844
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0900 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICA
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF MARIA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 60.2W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 60.2W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 59.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.5N 64.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 23.5N 69.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 60SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 27.5N 70.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 34.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 60.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




064
WTNT22 KNHC 100847
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0900 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.3N 53.4W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 38 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 70SE 70SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 170SE 170SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 270SE 270SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 360SE 540SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.3N 53.4W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.6N 56.1W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 46.0N 44.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 80SE 60SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 200SE 180SW 30NW.
34 KT...200NE 300SE 300SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 50.2N 32.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 240SE 240SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 360SE 360SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 53.9N 21.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 240SE 240SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 360SE 360SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 57.3N 13.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 240SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 360SE 480SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 61.3N 1.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 360SE 360SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...EAST OF ZERO DEGREES LONGITUDE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.3N 53.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI