Tropical Storm Lee
Forecast Advisory 2
000
WTNT22 KNHC 020235
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0300 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 50.6W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 45SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 50.6W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 50.0W
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.5N 52.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 55SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 15SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.5N 55.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.5N 57.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 75SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 90SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 25.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 26.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 50.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT23 KNHC 020238
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
0300 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 91.5W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 91.5W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 91.4W
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 27.5N 92.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 28.0N 92.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.6N 92.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.2N 92.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 30SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 29.7N 92.1W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 30SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 30.5N 91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 31.5N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 91.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
