Tropical Storm Lee

Forecast Advisory 6

---

000
WTNT22 KNHC 030251
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0300 UTC SAT SEP 03 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 54.3W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 210SW 215NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 54.3W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 53.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.5N 55.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.5N 57.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 135SE 75SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 24.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 135SE 90SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 26.5N 66.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 28.0N 69.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 54.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT23 KNHC 030252
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
0300 UTC SAT SEP 03 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 91.6W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 91.6W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 91.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.6N 91.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.4N 91.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 30.0N 91.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.2N 91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 100SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.5N 89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 200SE 100SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 34.0N 87.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 35.5N 86.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 91.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN