Tropical Storm Lee

Forecast Advisory 9



000
WTNT23 KNHC 032047
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
2100 UTC SAT SEP 03 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 92.1W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......200NE 175SE 0SW 95NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 92.1W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 92.1W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 29.8N 91.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 175SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 30.2N 91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 30.5N 91.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 31.2N 89.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 175SE 90SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 33.0N 87.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 34.5N 85.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 37.0N 83.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 92.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



000
WTNT22 KNHC 032051
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
2100 UTC SAT SEP 03 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 56.8W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 105SE 75SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 56.8W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 56.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.7N 58.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.8N 59.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.1N 61.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 24.3N 63.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 135SE 120SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 29.5N 69.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 31.5N 70.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 56.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG