Tropical Storm Lee

Forecast Advisory 10



000
WTNT22 KNHC 040249
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0300 UTC SUN SEP 04 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 57.4W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 105SE 75SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 57.4W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 57.0W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.0N 58.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.3N 60.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 75SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 24.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 135SE 120SW 135NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 29.1N 70.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 32.0N 71.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 57.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



000
WTNT23 KNHC 040250
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
0300 UTC SUN SEP 04 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 92.6W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 200SE 80SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 240SE 120SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 92.6W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 92.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 30.0N 92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 80SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.4N 91.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 225SE 90SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 30.7N 90.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...125NE 225SE 90SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 32.0N 89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 34.0N 86.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 36.5N 84.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 92.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN