Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 3



000
WTNT22 KNHC 070838
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0900 UTC WED SEP 07 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 67.9W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 135SE 120SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 240SE 240SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 67.9W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 67.6W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.8N 69.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 135SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.7N 69.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 34.0N 69.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 36.4N 67.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 135SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 40.9N 58.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT...175NE 225SE 200SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 47.0N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 59.0N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 67.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH



000
WTNT24 KNHC 070840
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0900 UTC WED SEP 07 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 39.9W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 39.9W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 39.0W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 12.6N 42.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 13.3N 46.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.6N 54.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.7N 60.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 19.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 22.5N 69.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 39.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH