Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 18
895
WTNT25 KNHC 110245
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011
0300 UTC SUN SEP 11 2011
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO NORTH OF TUXPAN
* MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO NORTH OF TUXPAN
* MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 95.0W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 90SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 95.0W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 94.7W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.8N 95.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 19.7N 97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 19.7N 98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 95.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
871
WTNT24 KNHC 110253
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0300 UTC SUN SEP 11 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 62.9W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 0SE 0SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 62.9W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 62.5W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.6N 64.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.0N 65.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.3N 66.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 45SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 23.3N 68.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 45SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 26.0N 69.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 45SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 32.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 39.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 62.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN