Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 28

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611
WTNT24 KNHC 131431
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1500 UTC TUE SEP 13 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 68.0W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 90SE 0SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 68.0W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 67.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 23.6N 68.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 26.1N 68.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 29.2N 68.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 33.2N 67.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 175SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 43.0N 57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 68.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN