Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 31

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561
WTNT24 KNHC 140834
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0900 UTC WED SEP 14 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 68.6W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 68.6W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 68.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 26.7N 68.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 30.4N 68.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 35.3N 66.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 41.1N 60.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 120SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 55.8N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 180SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 240SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 68.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART