Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 37

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615
WTNT24 KNHC 152043
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
2100 UTC THU SEP 15 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE AVALON PENINSULA FROM ARNOLDS
COVE TO JONES HARBOR.

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO JONES HARBOR.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF AVALON
PENINSULA THIS EVENING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 65.6W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 31 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 210SE 45SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 330SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 65.6W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 66.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 39.6N 61.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 130SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 120SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 46.7N 54.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 54.5N 45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 320SE 270SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 65.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN