Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 40

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898
WTNT24 KNHC 161431
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1500 UTC FRI SEP 16 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO ARNOLDS COVE AND FROM BRIGUS
SOUTH TO CHARLOTTETOWN

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.6N 56.3W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 45 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 240SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 300SE 420SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.6N 56.3W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.8N 58.2W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 50.5N 49.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 270SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.6N 56.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN